What would a climate-adapted settlement look like in 2030? A case study of Inverloch and Sandy Point

Authors: Janet Stanley, Robert Birrell, Peter Brain, Marion Carey, Michelle Duffy, Scott Ferraro, Steb Fisher, David Griggs, Ashley Hall, Tahl Kestin, Carole Macmillan, Ian Manning, Helen Martin, Virginia Rapson, Michael Spencer, Chris Stanley, Will Steffen, Mark Symmons and Wendy Wright
Year: 2013

In a case study to vision an adapted settlement in 2030, community consultations in the Victorian settlements of Inverloch and Sandy Point revealed that residents are unable to form a vision of how an adapted settlement in 2030 would look. In addition, they are unclear as to when, how and by whom adaptation decision-making can take place. This uncertainty in the decision-making processes regarding climate change adaptation led to disempowerment in the community of Inverloch. In contrast, the community consulted in Sandy Point were driven towards greater activeness and forcefulness. The findings from the case studies of Inverloch and Sandy Point, VIC were compared with the situation in other states through additional workshops in South Australia, Western Australia, and Tasmania. In all locations studied, the adaptation process was found to be at an early stage, and included engagement with local communities. However, research undertaken in all locations also found that the adaptation process was being undertaken in an environment of considerable uncertainty, and that there was a common need for a structure to assist adaptation decision-making. This study provides a framework of adaptation tasks that would fit with the proposed governance decision-making structures. An established economic micro-simulation model and regional data bases are used to examine the timing of infrastructure adaptation tasks.

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